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Their successors at No. As always, the Rays are known for their considerable depth -- more so now when they dont claim the top overall prospect in the game -- and while their Top 30 is already high-quality, theres a decent chance a popup name will emerge from outside that group in 2022, as Curtis Mead did last year. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, Thanks for all of this hard work. Left-handers Aaron Ashby and Ethan Small are knocking on the door. SS Ezequiel Tovar (Tier 1)2. IF/OF Ceddanne Rafaela (Tier 1)4. 30)Top 2021 rookie: Daniel Lynch, LHP, For the second straight year, shortstop phenom Bobby Witt Jr. headlines the Royals Top 30. Cincinnati Reds2021 midseason rank: 102021 preseason rank: 202020 midseason rank: 222020 preseason rank: 24Top 100 Prospects: Hunter Greene (No. 31), Logan Gilbert (No. The Orioles already have the best farm system in baseball. 86), Trades have thinned the Padres farm system over the past couple seasons, but there still are exciting prospects worth keeping an eye on. The recent additions will take time to develop, but are supported by long-tenured members of the system. Baltimore Orioles2020 midseason rank: 32020 preseason rank: 8Top 100 Prospects: Adley Rutschman (No. Next Ill note that the 2021 Updated section of The Board is now live. More , 9. 5), Jackson Jobe (No. Play-by-play data prior to 2002 was obtained free of charge from and is copyrighted More . More , 22. RHP Ty Madden (Tier 1)5. Especially since those 99 guys include people like Ozzie Albies and Paul DeJong who got to 10 wins much faster and may still be on the list in 5 years because they are young. 68), Miguel Vargas (No. OF Corbin Carroll (Tier 1)3. 3B Brett Baty (Tier 1)3. 7 despite graduating the likes of Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Bo Bichette and Cavan Biggio in recent years. Detmers is set to build off a season in which he dominated the Minors and made his Major League debut, but the majority of the system features prospects years away from reaching Los Angeles. There isn't a can't-miss prospect in the bunch, but it's a strong top 10, with the top five likely to appear in my top 100 prospects, and there is plenty of talent throughout the system that is waiting for recognition. . 13), Joey Bart (No. 01:09:36. 3B Gunnar Henderson (Tier 1)2. 50), Brendan McKay (No. Kyle Drabek / SP. But even after all that, the farm system is still among the best in baseball. by Retrosheet. 48), Ezequiel Duran (No. 41), Sixto Snchez (No. 74)Top 2021 rookie: Brandon Marsh, OF, We still believe in Jo Adell, and Brandon Marsh, once 100 percent, isnt far behind him, with a bunch of intriguing, albeit far away, up-the-middle type talents throughout the system. 52), Oneil Cruz (No. Chicago White Sox2020 midseason rank: 62020 preseason rank: 11Top 100 Prospects: Andrew Vaughn (No. Texas is the club whose ranking Id most drastically tweak if I were doing these ranking by hand. 82), Hunter Bishop (No. 96), Shortstops are this system's strength, led by Top 100 prospects Anthony Volpe and Oswald Peraza and with future Top 100 candidates Trey Sweeney and Roderick Arias behind them. OF Colin Barber (Tier 3)10. The Cubs are another organization that could look a lot better a year from now as we get a better handle on the fruits of their 2015 IFA spending spree. Torontos system is being driven by their large group of relatively mature prospects. Los Angeles Dodgers2020 midseason rank: 142020 preseason rank: 11Top 100 Prospects: Keibert Ruiz (No. 2. These rankings of all 30 . 14 ), Colton Cowser, OF ( No. Now that all 30 orgs have been audited, Ive begun pulling graduating prospects off The Board. RHP Owen White (Tier 2)6. 43), Quinn Priester (No. 69), DL Hall (No. RHP Bed Kudrna (Tier 2)3. 67), Matt Allan (No. They may spend a lot of money on the MLB roster, but they also identify and develop talent as well as any organization in the sport. RHP Cole Phillips (Tier 3) 6. Los Angeles Angels2021 midseason rank: 242021 preseason rank: 252020 midseason rank: 212020 preseason rank: 26Top 100 Prospects: Reid Detmers (No. 6 Grayson Rodriguez provides a very solid foundation. Top 100 Prospects: Kahlil Watson, SS (No. C Carter Jensen (Tier 3), 1. 46), Simeon Woods Richardson (No. 6), Gunnar Henderson, SS/3B (No. The following factors helped determine the placement of players and teams: A tier system was used to help differentiate the varying levels of individual talent: Teams were initially ranked based on the average tier ranking of their top 10 prospects, and the rankings were then subjectively tweaked from there. SS Zach Neto (Tier 1)3. But I also think that does call into question whether FV50s really are worth that much more than FV45+ and FV45s. RHP Mason Black (Tier 3)10. When Wander Franco graduates, they will still have a $100 million gap between them and where the next tier starts, though if some of their other recently added prospects stick on the big league roster for the rest of the year, their system will fall back to the pack. 54m The prospects traded for Juan Soto have been added to the Nationals team list: fangraphs.com/prospects/the- 5 4 12 FanGraphs Prospects @FG_Prospects Washington moves from 24th to 8th in the live farm system rankings. But three big right-handers at the top and toolsy young position players at the lowest levels give hope that more homegrown talent could eventually make its way to the capital. 38), Jordan Groshans (No. Teams ranked low who I think have players destined for huge growth includes the Cubs, Angels and Brewers because of the young players they have at Low-A and on the complex right now. Minnesota Twins2020 midseason rank: 122020 preseason rank: 7Top 100 Prospects: Royce Lewis (No. C Drake Baldwin (Tier 3), 1. 22), Nick Lodolo (No. This can be seen in FanGraphs' most recent post which is about the. RHP Jairo Iriarte (Tier 3)9. 21), The Angels have seemingly had fleeting Minor League depth for years but have produced high-ceiling players in Jared Walsh, Jo Adell, Brandon Marsh and Shohei Ohtani, the 2021 AL MVP. RHP Garrett Hawkins (Tier 3), 1. More , 20. 49), Bobby Dalbec (No. SS Brady House (Tier 2)6. Readers have a couple of different options in this area. Younger = more range of outcomes = higher chance of more development in the tank. RHP Dylan Smith (Tier 3), 1. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. 2 in 2007. SS Denzer Guzman (Tier 3)7. 1 overall Draft picks (Spencer Torkelson and Casey Mize), two more Top 10 overall picks (Riley Greene and Matt Manning) and a late-round gem (Tarik Skubal), the Tigers are the first team ever to have five of the top 25 players in one of our Top 100 Prospects lists. Play Audio . The arms are behind the bats, but 2021 picks Ricky Tiedemann and Irv Carter show promise heading into their first full seasons. OF Sterlin Thompson (Tier 3)10. LHP Frank Mozzicato (Tier 3)10. FanGraphs Baseball | Baseball Statistics and Analysis Glasnow, Musgrove Go Down With Early Injuries in Blow to Playoff Contenders With tight playoff races expected, injuries to key pitchers. The first three teams to sit atop our rankings -- the Cubs (pre-2015), Red Sox (mid-2015) and Dodgers (pre-2016) -- have won World Series championships. OF Will Brennan (Tier 3), 1. Chicago White Sox2021 midseason rank: 302021 preseason rank: 162020 midseason rank: 62020 preseason rank: 11Top 100 Prospects: none, Though the White Sox rank last again, their system was a mainstay in the top 10 from 2017-20 and cranked out a lot of talent en route to the first back-to-back playoff appearances in franchise history. I mention this because perhaps the biggest flaw in doing farm rankings the way we do is that young, recently-graduated players can drastically alter where an organization lines up on the list. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Most of their best young talents are still another year from being ready for the big leagues, including right-hander Daniel Espino, their best mound prospect since CC Sabathia. The testing set is simply not the same as the training data. SS Adrian Placencia (Tier 3), 1. A lot of the 45/50 pool is just going to be guys who are revised up 1-2 notches based on development curve and more information. But FV is somewhat tied to where a prospect is in their minors career arc. 88), As the Guardians continue to slash payroll in the Majors, they're going to have to rely on inexpensive in-house talent to remain relevant. 37), Nolan Gorman (No. 97)Top 2021 rookie: Alex Kirilloff, OF, Even with the loss of top prospect Royce Lewis for the year, four of the Twins top six prospects have the chance to impact the big league roster in 2021, with some good depth behind them. 43), Walkers ascent to become St. Louis top prospect gives the club yet another slugging-first third-base option behind Nolan Arenado. 61), Austin Wells (No. 72), MLB Pipeline has been ranking prospects since 2004, and this marks the first time a Royals prospect has claimed the No. OF Joey Wiemer (Tier 1)4. 84), Tyler Freeman (No. 4 Joe Ryan, No. Chicago Cubs2021 midseason rank: 182021 preseason rank: 222020 midseason rank: 262020 preseason rank: 23Top 100 Prospects: Brennen Davis (No. With recent first-rounders Henry Davis, Nick Gonzales and Quinn Priester playing in the same system as trade acquisitions such as Oneil Cruz, Roansy Contreras, Liover Peguero and Endy Rodriguez, theres reason to have faith that the Jolly Roger is rising. Hall, LHP (No. SS Jose Rodriguez (Tier 3)7. SS Colson Montgomery (Tier 1)2. Miami not only has the youngest team in the National League East, but it also has easily the best crop of prospects. 13), Matthew Liberatore (No. In Craigs initial series of articles on prospect valuation, the top 100 was given a smooth curve between FVs. 22), Jordan Groshans (No. 66), Edward Cabrera (No. The current state of the system features a top half of players ready to make debuts this season or next season. Remember, my opinions generate the players grades, and then Craigs math takes those grades and generates the rankings; Im left to react to them rather than explain how I arrived at them. 21), Tarik Skubal (No. 89), The Rangers signed Corey Seager and Marcus Semien to bolster their lineup, and their farm system should give the club a huge boost in the next couple of years. 7), Daniel Lynch (No. More , 19. The depth charts found on the Team Pages are based on projected playing time, NOT the current status of a team's roster. Youre almost never going to draft one of those past the first 10-15 picks.. OF Dominic Fletcher (Tier 3)10. RHP Taylor Dollard (Tier 1)3. 1 prospect here for the first time in five years, there are a few new names courtesy of the Nolan Arenado deal and theres some young talent several years away thanks to the Rockies long-standing presence in Latin America. 15), JJ Bleday (No. Cavalli and House the clubs two most recent first-round picks -- top the system these days, providing the group with a top-of the-rotation type and a potential middle-of-the-lineup masher who could stick at short. 78), Dane Dunning (No. SS Jett Williams (Tier 2)8. Overall Depth (Team): Having one or two elite prospects is great, but a deep farm system is the way to build a sustainable contender. RHP Karson Milbrandt (Tier 3), 1. OF Matt Wallner (Tier 2)6. 4), Riley Greene (No. Pre-Draft Farm System Rankings | FanGraphs Baseball Pre-Draft Farm System Rankings by Eric Longenhagen and Kiley McDaniel May 30, 2019 MLB Draft Week 2019 Mock Draft 3.0 Pre-Draft. More , 26. More , 24. System-wide prospect successes sell World Series tickets. More . RHP Taj Bradley (Tier 1)2. RHP Mason Miller (Tier 2)8. 100), Like speedy outfielders who can hit? Not bad shape for a system that just graduated the NL Rookie of the Year, Jonathan India. 62), Asa Lacy (No. More , 13. 23), Blake Walston (No. Seattle Mariners2021 midseason rank: 22021 preseason rank: 32020 midseason rank: 42020 preseason rank: 9Top 100 Prospects: Julio Rodrguez, OF (No. Recent first-round Draft picks Robert Hassell (2020) and Jackson Merrill (2021) have impressed in the early stages of their careers. OF Miguel Bleis (Tier 2)5. OF Spencer Jones (Tier 2)7. OF Cristhian Vaquero (Tier 2)7. 99)Top 2021 rookie: Tim Cate, LHP, Last seasons graduations of Carter Kieboom and Luis Garcia and the continued fallout from moves made to aid the 2019 World Series run leave the Nats in the bottom spot. All UZR (ultimate zone rating) calculations are provided courtesy of Mitchel Lichtman. OF Brennen Davis (Tier 1)3. LHP Andrew Abbott (Tier 3), 1. 30), Nolan Gorman (No. C/1B Tyler Soderstrom (Tier 1)2. The Dodgers -- big spenders but also high-quality developers in the Minor Leagues -- finished in the top three of the 2019 midseason and 2020 preseason lists before capturing their World Series crown two years ago. 17), Alex Kirilloff (No. Top 100 Prospects: Gunnar Henderson, SS/3B ( No. Here is our 2022 ranking of all 30 farm systems, counting down from number 30 to number 1. LHP Matthew Liberatore (Tier 2)7. Milwaukee Brewers2020 midseason rank: 282020 preseason rank: 29Top 100 Prospects: Garrett Mitchell (No. So when you peruse our system rankings below, expect to see the teams ranked near the top playing for championships in the near future. These rankings provide a current snapshot of the farm systems before Longenhagen and McDaniel embark on their winter-long reveal of team prospect rankings. OF Colton Cowser (Tier 1)6. Despite sacrificing 14 prospects -- including Top 100 guys Roansy Contreras and Ezequiel Duran -- in trades for Joey Gallo, Andrew Heaney, Clay Holmes, Anthony Rizzo and Jameson Taillon last year, the Yankees still have plenty of Minor League depth. SS Adael Amador (Tier 1)4. Loading. Martinez and Groshans lead a charge of multi-positional infielders -- a group that includes eight of the clubs top 14 prospects. But the top three on the list were all first-round picks of the Pirates. The system is skewed toward the offensive side, featuring players who rose up the rankings after breakout 2021 seasons by catcher Logan OHoppe and outfielders Johan Rojas and Jhailyn Ortiz. 9), Robert Hassell III (No. Cleveland Indians2020 midseason rank: 132020 preseason rank: 14Top 100 Prospects: Nolan Jones (No. 39), Brady House (No. IF Lenyn Sosa (Tier 3)8. RHP Jonathan Cannon (Tier 3), 1. RHP Hayden Juenger (Tier 3)9. RHP Max Meyer (Tier 1)3. Miami Marlins2021 midseason rank: 32021 preseason rank: 42020 midseason rank: 52020 preseason rank: 4Top 100 Prospects: Kahlil Watson (No. Its an exciting mix of international signees like Rodrguez and Noelvi Marte, first-round picks like George Kirby and surprises like Matt Brash. More , 23. 60), Brennen Davis (No. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. Theres a new wave of 40s from every draft and signing period. RHP Reese Olson (Tier 3)10. 44), MacKenzie Gore (No. RHP Ben Brown (Tier 2)8. 3B Cam Collier (Tier 1)5. All Win Expectancy, Leverage Index, Run Expectancy, and Fans Scouting Report data licenced from TangoTiger.com. Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. Philadelphia Phillies2020 midseason rank: 232020 preseason rank: 19Top 100 Prospects: Spencer Howard (No. 97), Even after dealing 2021 first-rounder Chase Petty to the Reds for Sonny Gray, the Twins' depth is in pitchers. 36), The Rockies' group of prospects is making its way up our rankings thanks to an influx of talent from recent Draft classes. RHP Darius Vines (Tier 3)7. -Far and away the best prospect in the Astros system, right-hander Hunter Brown is quickly emerging as one of the best pitching prospects in baseball. The way I understand it, a 50FV prospect is expected to be an average major league starter and average 2 WAR/season. August 18, 2022 12 Baseball America updated their farm system rankings to include draft picks on Thursday and the Pittsburgh Pirates saw a drop from their preseason rankings, despite. Brett Lawrie / 3B/2B/OF. SS William Bergolla (Tier 3)9. 7 Josh Winder) stand to open the season on the 40-man roster. Sort of relatedI have noticed FGs grades are consistently lower than other outlets. the numbers kind of add up. You may want to follow the FanGraphs Prospects Twitter account, which I typically use to tweet Board updates when players are added, subtracted, or move within the Future Value tiers. Infielder Nick Allen and pitchers Daulton Jefferies and A.J. OF Druw Jones (Tier 1)4. C Dillon Dingler (Tier 2)9. San Diego Padres2021 midseason rank: 172021 preseason rank: 62020 midseason rank: 32020 preseason rank: 2Top 100 Prospects: CJ Abrams (No. LHP Brandon Williamson (Tier 2)6. 52), Jose Miranda (No. 92), After building up a formidable farm system and parlaying it into the 2016 World Series championship, the Cubs are trying to travel that same route again. RHP Mike Burrows (Tier 2)9. 61), Miguel Amaya (No. SS Cal Conley (Tier 3)10. Weve considered factors such as potential impact talent, depth, proximity to the big leagues and balance between position players and pitchers as well as ceilings and floors. RHP Tink Hence (Tier 1)3. OF Lazaro Montes (Tier 3)8. Los Angeles Dodgers2021 midseason rank: 162021 preseason rank: 142020 midseason rank: 112020 preseason rank: 3Top 100 Prospects: Diego Cartaya (No. OF Justin Crawford (Tier 2)4. Oakland Athletics2021 midseason rank: 282021 preseason rank: 262020 midseason rank: 172020 preseason rank: 14Top 100 Prospects: Tyler Soderstrom (No. New York Mets2020 midseason rank: 202020 preseason rank: 20Top 100 Prospects: Francisco Alvarez (No. 3B Jacob Berry (Tier 1)4. SS Marcelo Mayer (Tier 1)2. These will fluctuate and change shortly after players are drafted, traded, or graduate, or move as they around the org lists. Liberatore and No. OF Johan Rojas (Tier 3)7. The Padres have been aggressive on the international market and have several toolsy prospects in the system. RHP Cade Cavalli (Tier 1)5. Cincinnati Reds2020 midseason rank: 222020 preseason rank: 24Top 100 Prospects: Nick Lodolo (No. Kansas City Royals2020 midseason rank: 102020 preseason rank: 17Top 100 Prospects: Bobby Witt Jr. (No. 1 spot for three straight editions of these rankings, are coming off their first 100-win season in the history of the franchise. 96)Top 2021 rookie: Justin Topa, RHP, The Brewers have multiple players on the Top 100 for the first time since 2018, giving them two up-the-middle premium to lead a Top 30 thats almost entirely homegrown (29 of the Top 30) and has a lot more bats (21) than arms (nine). 41)Top 2021 rookie: Luis Garcia, RHP, Losing its only Top 100 Prospect (Forrest Whitley) to Tommy John surgery didnt help a system in flux, though the Astros hope OF Pedro Leon (signed in January) will make a quick impact and they can continue to turn anonymous signees into viable big league arms. A year ago, the Rays Top 100 contingent boasted Wander Franco, Luis Patio, Randy Arozarena and Shane McClanahan. Armed with a high-octane fastball and a . More , 25. 1), MJ Melendez (No. LHP Carson Whisenhunt (Tier 2)6. Id agree that upper minors level 40s and such may be viewed with a critical eye, but low level guys there just because theyre still low level guys and not top picks or IFA signs just shows caution in the grading. Tampa Bay Rays2020 midseason rank: 12020 preseason rank: 1Top 100 Prospects: Wander Franco (No. Third-ranked Pittsburghs hard rebuild moved them here.